December 24, 2024

UFC Fight Night 218: Dooho Choi vs. Kyle Nelson odds, picks and predictions

Choi #Choi

Kyle Nelson poses after defeating Jai Herbert during UFC Fight Night at O2 Arena. © Provided by Sportsbook Wire Kyle Nelson poses after defeating Jai Herbert during UFC Fight Night at O2 Arena.

In a featherweight bout on the main card, Dooho Choi and Kyle Nelson meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 218 — also known as UFC Vegas 68 — at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 218: Choi vs. Nelson odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims on ESPN+ start at 7 p.m. PT, and the main card on ESPN+ begins at 10 p.m PT.

Choi heads into this fight on a 3-bout losing skid, including a 2nd round KO/TKO loss against Charles Jourdain in his most recent fight in Dec. 2019. Choi was expected to fight Danny Chavez at UFC on ESPN 28 in July 2021 but was forced to withdraw from the bout due to injury.

Nelson is also on a skid, losing each of his past 2 fights in the 3rd round. He had a unanimous-decision loss to Jai Herbert in July and was knocked out by Billy Quarantillo 2 years prior. His only win in 5 fights at the UFC level was a round 1 KO/TKO against Polo Reyes in Sept. 2019.

Choi holds a 5.32-to-3.34 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, while Nelson has been better on the canvas at the UFC level.

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UFC Fight Night 218: Choi vs. Nelson odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.

Fight result (2-way line): Choi -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Nelson +160 (bet $100 to win $160) Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -150 | Under +110) Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +170 | No -250) Catch the excitement and bet with Tipico

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UFC Fight Night 218: Choi vs. Nelson picks and predictions

Records: Choi (14-4) | Nelson (13-5)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

CHOI (-190) is a punching machine who should be able to sneak by Nelson in this undercard bout. He not only holds a significant strikes landed advantage, but he is also slightly more accurate, too.

Choi has had 5 of his 6 fights at the UFC level end via KO/TKO, with 3 wins and 2 losses, and he’ll keep that going in this bout. Look to CHOI BY TKO/KO (+112) at plus-money for a solid value.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-150) is worth playing despite the KO/TKO call for method of victory.

Both of Choi’s past 2 fights have resulted in KO/TKO losses, but each were in the 2nd half of the 2nd round.

Nelson has gone into the 3rd round in 3 of his 5 fights at the UFC level so far. This won’t end early.

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