December 25, 2024

The US election hinges on these states: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina

Michigan #Michigan

Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. 

These are the remaining key states that have not yet been called for President Donald Trump or Former Vice President Joe Biden as of mid-morning Wednesday. 

So far, Biden holds 238 electoral votes and Trump has 213. The winner needs 270. Biden needs to secure an additional 32 electoral college votes; Trump, 57.

ELECTORAL MAP: Get live election results here

The outcome will hinge on securing the states above, although the results may take a while to filter in because of processing times for a large volume of mail-in ballots. Some states, such as Pennsylvania, don’t allow the early processing of mail-in ballots.

Tallies from Alaska (3 electoral votes) and Nevada (6 electoral votes) are also expected.

If Trump wins Alaska and Biden wins Nevada:

  • Trump can win if he wins Pennsylvania and three of the remaining states. 
  • Trump can win if he loses Pennsylvania and wins all four other states.
  • Biden can win if he wins Pennsylvania and any other state
  • Biden can win if he loses Pennsylvania and wins Georgia and any other state
  • Biden can win if he loses Pennsylvania and wins Michigan and any other state
  • Wisconsin, Michigan and Georgia are expected to be called today; Nevada, tomorrow. Pennsylvania’s governor said the results could come today or tomorrow. 

    Here’s how things stand among the key states. 

    Election updates: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania still up for grabs

    Polls showed Biden had a lead. Why didn’t Americans wake up to a winner?

    Georgia

    Electoral votes at stake: 16

    Estimated percentage of vote counted: 94% 

    Trump: 2,380,946 (50.5%)

    Biden: 2,278,123 (48.3%)

    Trump is out in front of Biden in Georgia by about a 100,000 votes at last check. Georgia is counting mail-in ballots in precincts expected to favor Democrats. 

    Michigan

    Electoral votes at stake: 16

    Estimated percentage of vote counted: 94% 

    Biden:2,567,749 (49.6%)

    Trump: 2,531,193 (48.9%)

    Trump leads Biden by about 37,000 votes in Michigan, with more than 400,000 ballots still being counted. Those votes are largely absentee ballots, and are expected to help Biden over Trump. The delayed results were expected and are a sign clerks are deliberate in their counting process, said Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson. 

    Election results in Michigan: Roughly 400,000 ballots still being counted Wednesday 

    North Carolina

    Electoral votes at stake: 15

    Estimated percentage of vote counted: 94% 

    Trump: 2,732,104 (50.1%)

    Biden: 2,655,392 (48.7%)

    Winning North Carolina is critical to Trump’s re-election chances. He has a lead of almost 80,000 votes. Trump won North Carolina in 2016. 

    Pennsylvania

    Electoral votes at stake: 20

    Estimated percentage of vote counted: 64% 

    Trump: 3,028,449 (54%)

    Biden: 2,509,500 (44.8%)

    Trump is leading Biden by more than 500,000 votes in the Keystone State, but that could change after more than 1.4 million outstanding mail-in votes are counted, many of them expected to favor Biden.

    In Pennsylvania: 1.4 million ballots still being counted with race too close to call

    Wisconsin

    Electoral votes at stake: 10

    Estimated percentage of vote counted: 95% 

    Biden: 1,630,334 (49.6%)

    Trump: 1,609,586 (48.9%)

    Biden is ahead in the Midwestern battleground state by about 20,000 votes. Trump led earlier in the state but Biden made up ground through the night as mail-in ballots substantially broke for the Democratic challenger. 

    Wisconsin: Biden’s lead is close to Trump’s thin winning margin from 2016

    Philadelphia’s top election official says in-person ballots are still being counted and the reporting has been delayed because machine totals must be completed first, before mail-in voting. (Nov. 4) AP Domestic

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