November 12, 2024

Super Tuesday primaries 2024: Trump, Biden dominate, Haley ekes out win in Vermont

Super Tuesday #SuperTuesday

It’s just past 2 a.m., and we’ve got major results in from most of Super Tuesday’s wide-ranging slate of primary contests. So far, Trump has won at least 12 of the 15 states holding GOP presidential nominating contests, while Haley has won Vermont — though whether she hits a 50 percent (plus one vote) threshold of victory there will determine the exact number of delegates she takes home.

Either way, with an estimated 943 total delegates to Haley’s 86 so far, per ABC News projections, Trump’s well on his way to securing the magic delegate majority number of 1,215 — though it may take a few more weeks. He’s so far secured 667 delegates tonight and could add 75 more, which would leave him a bit short of the 769 mark that Elliott noted earlier would set him up to mathematically clinch the nomination on March 12. Of course, we’re all watching to see if Haley drops out sooner.

In other highlights:

– As expected, Republican Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson and Democratic state Attorney General Josh Stein secured their parties’ respective nominations, and will go head to head in what’s expected to be a close general election contest for governor.

– Rep. Colin Allred locked up the Democratic nomination in Texas’s Senate race, and will face off against Sen. Ted Cruz in the general.

– Democratic Rep. Adam Schiff secured not only the top spot in a top-two primary, but also a likely glide path to the nomination, as the second spot on November’s ballot went to Republican Steve Garvey instead of a second Democrat.

We’re still tracking a dozen-odd downballot races that have yet to be projected, and awaiting presidential primary results in Utah and Alaska, so we’ll see you back here tomorrow … er, later today, with more results and analysis!

—Tia Yang, 538

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