Saints vs. Panthers Prediction, Odds, Picks – Sep 18
1 year ago
Saints #Saints
Data Skrive
The New Orleans Saints (1-0) are the favorites — expected to win by at least a field goal, but less than a touchdown (currently -3) — against the Carolina Panthers (0-1) in a matchup of two division rivals. The total for this one is set at 39.5 points.
Saints vs Panthers Betting Information updated as of September 18, 2023, 2:37 PM ET. Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Saints -3 -115 -105 39.5 -110 -110 Saints vs. Panthers Prediction & Pick
Pick ATS: Carolina (+3)
Pick OU: Under (39.5)
Prediction: Carolina 23 – New Orleans 9
How to Watch New Orleans vs. Carolina
Game Date: Monday, September 18, 2023
Time: 7:15 PM ET
Venue: Bank of America Stadium
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
TV: Watch on ESPN
Saints vs. Panthers Recent Matchups
Carolina owns a 3-2 record against New Orleans in their last five matchups.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, New Orleans has tallied 111 points versus Carolina, while giving up only 106 points.
New Orleans Betting Info
New Orleans went 7-10-0 ATS last season.
As a 3-point favorite or greater, the Saints had one win ATS (1-3) last season.
A total of six New Orleans games last season hit the over.
The Saints finished with a 4-2 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 66.7% of those games).
In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -166 or shorter, New Orleans went 3-1 (75%).
Based on this game’s moneyline, the Saints’ implied win probability is 62.4%.
Saints Stats (2022) Stat Average (Total) Rank Pass yards 217.2 (3,692) 16 Rush yards 116.6 (1,982) 19 Points scored 19.4 (330) 22 Pass yards against 184.4 (3,134) 2 Rush yards against 130.5 (2,218) 24 Points allowed 20.3 (345) 9 New Orleans’ Key PlayersOffense
For the Raiders, Derek Carr averaged 7 passing yards per attempt (18th in the NFL) and 234.8 yards per game last year, completing 60.8% of his passes on the way to 3,522 total yards, 24 touchdowns and 14 interceptions in 15 games.
Jamaal Williams scored 17 rushing touchdowns, while totaling 1,066 rushing yards (4.1 per carry and 62.7 per game).
In 16 games last season, Taysom Hill racked up 240 passing yards, while throwing two touchdowns against zero interceptions and completing 68.4% of his attempts.
He added 575 yards on the ground, with seven rushing touchdowns. He averaged 35.9 yards per game and 6 per attempt.
Chris Olave was targeted 119 times, resulting in 72 catches for 1,042 yards .
Defense
Demario Davis put up 6.5 sacks to go with 10 TFL, 109 tackles, and one interception over 17 games in 2022.
Cameron Jordan totaled 8.5 sacks in addition to his 13 TFL and 66 tackles over 16 games.
Tyrann Mathieu intercepted three passes on top of91 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and eight passes defended during the 2022 campaign.
Carl Granderson registered 5.5 sacks to go with nine TFL and 53 tackles over 14 games.
Carolina Betting Info
Carolina compiled a 9-8-0 record against the spread last season.
The Panthers’ ATS record as underdogs of 3 points or more was 5-4 last season.
Carolina and its opponent combined to hit the over eight out of 17 times last year.
Last season, the Panthers were the underdog 12 times and won six, or 50%, of those games.
Carolina entered nine games last season as the underdog by +140 or more and were 3-6 in those contests.
The implied probability of a win by the Panthers, based on the moneyline, is 41.7%.
Last season in 17 games for the Eagles, Miles Sanders churned out 1,269 yards rushing (fifth in NFL) and scored 11 rushing TDs. He averaged 74.6 yards per game and 4.9 per attempt (11th in NFL).
In 14 games for the Saints last season, Andy Dalton had 2,871 yards passing, throwing for 18 TDs with nine INTs and completing 66.7% of his attempts.
Adam Thielen put up 716 yards receiving and six TDs on 70 receptions while being targeted 107 times last season with the Vikings.
Chuba Hubbard had 466 rushing yards and two rushing TDs, averaging 33.3 yards per game and 4.9 per carry.
Hubbard added 14 catches (1 per game) for 171 yards (12.2 per game), without a receiving touchdown. He was on the end of 17 targets.
Defense
Frankie Luvu’s effort in 2022 included 111 tackles, 19 TFL, seven sacks, and one interception in 15 games.
Brian Burns’ production included 63 tackles, 17 TFL, 12.5 sacks, and three passes defended.
During the 2022 campaign, Shaq Thompson posted 135 tackles, eight TFL, and 0.5 sacks over 17 games.
Vonn Bell had one sack plus four TFL, 77 tackles, and four interceptions for the Bengals last year.
