Rain sticks around for another mild Tuesday – Nick

Good early Tuesday morning, everyone. Even though we kept temperatures mild (but below normal) with highs in the lower to middle 60s the other day, the increasing clouds we saw return eventually brought rain and some t-storms back into play during the late afternoon and evening hours. However, we’re expecting some periods of moderate to heavy rain within the next 24 hours. That’s why parts of the area are under areal flood watches until midnight Wednesday.

We’re seeing our rain chances really pick back up because of our next storm system approaching. There are two parts to this system. One is a broad upper-level low centered across the northern Rockies and northern Great Plains. It’s working together with an advancing surface front and low pressure system coming in from the southwest.

With the cloudy skies locked in with more rain and t-storm chances overtaking the area, temperatures will be holding steady in the middle to upper 50s to get your Tuesday AM drive started.

While it won’t necessarily rain all day long, we’ll continue to see periods of rain and t-storms across much of the area underneath cloudy skies. Any dry time that we can get, we’ll take advantage of it and get afternoon highs back into the middle to upper 60s. Regarding the rain and t-storm chances for the day, we aren’t expecting anything too strong or severe. Given how we’ll have at least moderate to heavy rainfall in the strongest of the t-storms, though, it’s something we’ll still keep an eye on.

While the rain chances will continue as we get into the evening, we could see a bit of a lull in the rain as we get into Wednesday morning. Still, the clouds will only allow lows to drop back near 60 for the start of our Wednesday AM drive. Since the storm system will still be around Wednesday, we’ll hold on to chances for scattered showers and t-storms for the day with highs trying to push near 70.

While we aren’t too concerned about severe weather with our t-storm chances for the next few days, the expected rain amounts are another story. The latest run of the Rain Tracker shows while some areas could see between half an inch and an inch on the low end, areas in southeast Kansas and northeast Oklahoma could have amounts range between 1 and 3 inches. There’s a chance some spots could see locally higher amounts close to 4 inches by the start of Wednesday evening. We’ll need to watch these numbers closely and see if it could lead to some minor flooding issues in spots.

This incoming storm system is going to take its time working across the region. With it passing overhead on Thursday, we’ll hold on to mostly cloudy skies and scattered rain for a good portion of the day. That will only allow highs to climb into the middle 60s across the area. By the start of our holiday weekend, the system will move on. Behind it, we’ll have highs back in the middle 70s under partly sunny skies.

While a weak disturbance riding along the returning jet could bring a few isolated t-storms for Saturday, the jet’s main job will be to lift back to the north. That will send highs into the lower 80s for Saturday before we head back into the middle 80s on Sunday. You can see how we’ll stay on the warmer side of the jet for Memorial Day. Before another storm system will try to come our way by potentially Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, we’ll stay dry under partly sunny skies for Memorial Day. It will be quite warm, though, with highs pushing into the middle (even upper) 80s.

Don’t forget that Doug has your long range forecast from the remainder of the Memorial Day Weekend through the middle of June down below. Have a great Tuesday!

Nick

May 31sth-June 4th:  Warm temperatures all week long. T-storm chances possible Tuesday. We’ll also watch for t-storm chances with a severe threat Wednesday and Thursday. Slight t-storm chances with a severe threat for Friday before more scattered t-storms with another severe threat for our Saturday.

June 5th-11th:  Warm temperatures all week long. Slight t-storm chances on Monday. Watching a severe threat with t-storms on Wednesday. T-storms on Thursday followed by a dry Friday and another severe threat with Saturday’s t-storms.

June 12th-18th:  Warm Sunday followed by a hot period Monday through Wednesday. Warm for the remainder of the week. T-storm chances with a severe threat Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. A higher severe threat with t-storms on Thursday before we dry out for the weekend.

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