One more mostly dry day before rain chances return and stick around into the weekend

Breezy south winds started to pump in warmer and more muggy air across Central Texas today, and we’re expecting more of the same into our Hump Day. Waking up Wednesday morning expect cloudy skies with some patchy dense fog and sprinkles/light rain showers around. Low temperatures to start the day will be into the upper 50s to low 60s. Cloud cover will be on the decrease across Central Texas, but we may not all see a full dose of sunshine for the afternoon. Despite the extra cloud cover around, it’s still going to be warm with highs in the mid 70s to low 80s. Afternoon temperatures will depend on how much cloud cover you see in your area – But we can all expect breezy, warm, and muggy conditions for the day Wednesday. Every day starting Thursday and through the upcoming weekend, Central Texas will have a chance for showers and storms. Thursday looks to be the day with the best chance for severe storms, but the latest data from our forecast models suggest we could have some warm air in place in the atmosphere, which could prevent storms from firing up in our area. With that being said, we are uncertain IF storms will develop out west and impact us here in Central Texas. One thing to note is that conditions will be favorable that IF a storm develops, it could quickly strengthen. Right now, the majority of Central Texas is under a Slight Risk (Level 2 out of 5) for severe weather. We’re mostly concerned about the afternoon and evening time frame Thursday for severe weather. Strong wind gusts, large hail, and potentially a stray tornado could be possible in any strong to severe storm that develops. We’ll continue to keep you updated over the next 24 to 36 hours on our severe storm chances – But you’ll want to make sure you have ways to receive weather updates as the threat for severe storms remains, we’ll just have to wait and see how all the storm ingredients line up together.

Cloudy skies and possibly a few hit and miss showers look to be possible throughout the day Thursday ahead of our severe storm chances. The cloudy skies and showers could be a sign that storms may have a hard time developing in our area. Thursday morning will be warm and muggy with lows in the mid to upper 60s with highs in the mid to upper 70s for the afternoon. If we see clouds clear for the afternoon, that’ll be a sign that storms could fire up in our area. The overall better chance for rain in our area arrives on Friday with a cold front. The front looks to move through Friday morning – Kick starting rain chances as we head into the final day of the work week. We’ll likely keep a chance for on and off showers and storms into Friday afternoon as the front stalls down to our south. We’re not expecting severe weather Friday, but some pockets of heavy rain could be possible. As the front stalls out, it’s going to put Central Texas in a favorable position for additional waves of showers and thunderstorms for the upcoming weekend. Another good chance for rain looks to return for Saturday, but drier air should move in by Sunday, which puts an end to our rain chances. Rain totals by the time the cold front moves away looks to be around a half-inch to an inch west of I-35 to an inch to a inch and a half east. Temperatures will be taking a tumble behind the front! We’ll see high back into the mid to upper 60s Friday through the upcoming weekend. We could see a secondary push of cooler air arrive by the start of the work week, which looks to push temperatures down into the mid 60s Monday and Tuesday of next week. No sub-freezing temperatures are in the forecast, but we could see temperatures dip into the upper 30s and low 40s next Tuesday morning before both morning lows and afternoon highs steadily warm up as we move into the end of next week. As far as our next chance for rain goes next week – We could see another shot at showers and thunderstorms return by next Thursday and Friday! More to come on that later!

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