December 24, 2024

Nuggets vs. Heat: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Home/Road Splits

Nuggets #Nuggets

The Miami Heat are 8.5-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Monday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The Nuggets have a 3-1 series lead. The over/under for the matchup is set at 210.5.

Nuggets vs. Heat Odds & Info

  • When: Monday, June 12, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: ABC
  • Favorite Spread Over/Under Nuggets -8.5 210.5

    Check out the latest NBA odds and place your bets on this matchup with BetMGM Sportsbook.

    Nuggets Betting Records & Stats

  • Denver and its opponents have combined to score more than 210.5 points in 69 of 82 games this season.
  • Denver’s contests this year have an average point total of 228.3, 17.8 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • The Nuggets are 45-37-0 ATS this season.
  • This season, Denver has been favored 61 times and won 43, or 70.5%, of those games.
  • Denver has a record of 16-6, a 72.7% win rate, when it’s favored by -375 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nuggets have a 78.9% chance to win.
  • Heat Betting Records & Stats

  • Miami has played 58 games this season that have gone over 210.5 combined points scored.
  • Miami’s games this year have had a 219.3-point total on average, 8.8 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Miami is 30-52-0 ATS this season.
  • The Heat have come away with seven wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Miami has played as an underdog of +290 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Miami has a 25.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Nuggets vs Heat Additional InfoNuggets vs. Heat Over/Under Stats (Regular Season) Games Over 210.5 % of Games Over 210.5 Average PPG Combined Average PPG Average Opponent PPG Combined Average Opponent PPG Average Total Nuggets 69 84.1% 115.8 225.3 112.5 222.3 229.9 Heat 58 70.7% 109.5 225.3 109.8 222.3 219.6 Additional Nuggets Insights & Trends

  • The Nuggets have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall in their past 10 games.
  • Three of Nuggets’ last 10 outings have hit the over.
  • Against the spread, Denver has played better when playing at home, covering 25 times in 41 home games, and 20 times in 41 road games.
  • The Nuggets record 115.8 points per game, six more points than the 109.8 the Heat give up.
  • Denver is 39-22 against the spread and 48-13 overall when scoring more than 109.8 points.
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    Additional Heat Insights & Trends

  • Miami has a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall in its past 10 games.
  • The Heat have hit the over in three of their last 10 games.
  • This season, Miami is 14-27-0 at home against the spread (.341 winning percentage). Away, it is 16-25-0 ATS (.390).
  • The Heat average only three fewer points per game (109.5) than the Nuggets allow (112.5).
  • When it scores more than 112.5 points, Miami is 15-15 against the spread and 22-8 overall.
  • Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Splits Nuggets and Heat Betting Information ATS Record ATS Record Against 8.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P) Nuggets 45-37 10-13 38-44 Heat 30-52 1-1 41-41 Nuggets vs. Heat Point Insights Nuggets Heat 115.8 Points Scored (PG) 109.5 12 NBA Rank (PPG) 30 39-22 ATS Record Scoring AVG+ 15-15 48-13 Overall Record Scoring AVG+ 22-8 112.5 Points Allowed (PG) 109.8 8 NBA Rank (PAPG) 2 27-7 ATS Record Allowing < AVG 25-36 28-6 Overall Record Allowing < AVG 38-23

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