NSW election 2023 live results: Chris Minns to be next NSW premier as Labor to form government – latest news

Key events

Here’s what we know so far from counting to 8:30PM, with more than 27% of the vote counted:

Labor will form government but it’s not yet clear if that will be a majority or a minority government, according to the ABC’s Antony Green. As of 8:30PM, he said it’s looking more like it will be a Labor majority government.

Independents have likely gained some seats off the Coalition. In Wakehurst, independent Michael Regan looks to have won the seat from the Liberals, which was held by retiring health minister Brad Hazzard. Wollondilly looks set to be taken by independent Judy Hannan.

Labor appears to have gained Monaro from the Nationals and Penrith from the Liberals. Labor will also gain Holsworthy, East Hills, Ryde and South Coast.

Updated at 05.35 EDT

Update from Tamsin Rose at the Liberal party function:

The sound was cut on the large TV screens shortly after the election was called for Labor.

Updated at 05.23 EDT

The Liberal party is claiming to have retained the teal targets of Vaucluse and North Shore.

They have conceded South Coast and Parramatta.

Updated at 05.22 EDT

Wollondilly will be won by independent Judy Hannan, the ABC are projecting. The seat was held by the Liberals.

‘People picked out of nowhere’: David Elliott savages Liberals’ candidates

Retiring Liberal frontbencher David Elliott, on channel Seven’s coverage, was asked what he thought about the prospect of Matt Kean taking over the Liberal leadership from Dominic Perrottet.

Elliott said:

“It’s no secret that I’ve got a different flavour of liberalism than Matt Kean.”

Elliott said the party needed to understand if it had lost key seats by pursuing policies to appeal to potential teal voters.

Instead, Elliott said the Liberal party should pursue “positions on issues on what the centre-right, conservative battlers” want.

Elliott was also scathing of the quality of candidates preselected this election.

“We have people picked out of nowhere for these election campaigns.”

“The probity checks just aren’t there.”

“That stuff wouldn’t have happened under John Howard.”

Updated at 05.18 EDT

Antony Green has now called Wakehurst for Michael Regan

However, retiring Liberal MP Brad Hazzard all but conceded at 7.45pm saying he would have liked to hand over the seat (past tense).

The mood at the Cromer Sports club is jubilant. Regan’s people wear Maroon, not teal, but many of the same environmental and development issues have played out.

They are also sick of having road projects postponed, while the bus services seem to have gone downhill, in a region that has no other public transport options.

Updated at 05.16 EDT

Slew of seats fall to ALP from Coalition: Antony Green

ABC election analyst Antony Green says Labor has won the seats of East Hills, Monaro, Penrith, Ryde and South Coast off the Coalition.

Prime minister Anthony Albanese campaigning with Labor candidate for Penrith Karen McKeown on Friday. Photograph: Dean Lewins/AAP

Updated at 05.15 EDT

Update from Tamsin Rose at the Liberal function

Not an MP in sight.

Updated at 05.10 EDT

As at 8PM, with about 17% of the vote counted, the ABC has called:

Labor: 39

Coalition: 27

Greens: 2

Others: 6

Labor needs 47 seats to form a majority government.

ABC election analyst Antony Green has already said Labor will form government, but is not yet sure if that will be a majority or minority government.

Updated at 05.10 EDT

Huge swings point to a likely majority government for Labor

While Antony Green isn’t ready to call a majority Labor government, we’re seeing the kind of swings that will lead there.

The ABC calling the electorate of South Coast – which the Coalition held on a 10.6% margin – with a swing of 16.% so far, suggests as much. As does Parramatta (held on a 6.5% margin) and Monaro (11.6%).

Those regional seats are particularly significant because they were held on margins well above the uniform swing Labor needs to govern in its own right.

Meanwhile treasurer Matt Kean says on ABC that he would “be happy” for Dominic Perrottet to stay on as leader in opposition “if he wanted to”.

Updated at 05.09 EDT