NFL Draft 2021: As expected, Trevor Lawrence goes No. 1 overall to the Jacksonville Jaguars
Trevor Lawrence #TrevorLawrence
The 2021 NFL Draft is here. Roger Goodell & Co. will kick off the events in Cleveland at 8 p.m. We’ll have all the latest updates here throughout the night.
Barring a trade, the Patriots — who hold the No. 15 overall pick — will make their choice at roughly 9:45 p.m. Keep it here for all the news.
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Jaylen Waddle to Miami — 9:03 p.m.
The Patriots will have to worry about a whole new offensive option when they game plan for the Dolphins next year, as Jaylen Waddle is going sixth overall to Miami. Like the Bengals, another case of a college quarterback being reunited with a favorite college target, as he’ll play with his former Alabama teammate Tua in South Florida.
Chase to Cincy at No. 5 — 9:00 p.m.
Ja’Marr Chase is crazy fast and has terrific hands, and should represent a great new option for Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Burrow and Chase reunited in Cincinnati. The Alabama guys: Smith, Waddle and Mac Jones are all still out there, as well as Justin Fields.
Pitts to Falcons at No. 4 — 8:51 p.m.
If he stays healthy, Kyle Pitts has a chance to be a truly generational talent, one of the best in this draft. The size of a tight end, and speed of a wide receiver. I know DeVonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle get a lot of (well-deserved) love, but Pitts is just a freak who should dominate for years to come. First non-QB taken in this draft.
Wes Chandler!
Lance to Niners — 8:43 p.m.
Big move here, as the Niners have taken Trey Lance. Two quick things:
1. This means Jimmy Garoppolo could be in play for the Patriots, if they can figure out the cash.
2. The Patriots could also see either Mac Jones or Justin Fields start to slide down the board as a result of San Francisco going with Lance here. Another two intriguing signal-callers.
Bottom line? Things just got very interesting for New England and the quarterback position.
Regardless, this marks the first time three straight QBs have been taken in a draft since 1999.
Wilson selected by the Jets — 8:31 p.m.
Zach Wilson is now the man in New York. I loved the combination of his speed and arm at BYU, and while there are questions about the strength of schedule — the Cougars didn’t face a Power 5 opponent all last year — he’s now going to be handed the keys to the Jets. A lot will depend on the supporting cast they put around him, and how much leeway fans will offer the rookie. But it’ll be interesting to watch. The Patriots will likely get the rookie twice next year. (Note to self: Make sure to haul out the “Belichick vs. rookie QBs stat” for next year’s Pats-Jets game.)
Lawrence goes No. 1 — 8:26 p.m.
Least surprising pick of the draft? Maybe. But the Jags and Urban Meyer are banking on the fact that Lawrence can be there guy for the next decade-plus. He’s certainly been able to get it done at the college level — we’ll see how it works in the pros. Love this stat:
NFL Draft Notebook
Rodgers’ update? — 8:02 p.m.
Grain of salt and all that, but Schlereth is pretty dialed in in Denver…
Why three is the magic number — 7:59 p.m.
The best bets? Lawrence is going No. 1, and Wilson will be taken second. The big roll of the dice is No. 3. Does San Francisco take a quarterback? If so, my guess is that means Jimmy Garoppolo is still in play for the Patriots. If not, well … we’ll see what happens. But if you’re New England, that third pick will be the first real indicator of how the whole weekend might go.
Draft day memories — 7:39 p.m.
Loved this piece from The Big Lead, which spoke with some ex-NFL players on their draft weekend experiences. It includes this from former Patriots’ offensive lineman Rich Ohrnberger, who was taken by New England in 2009:
So I take the call and it’s Berj Najarian, who is Bill Belichick’s assistant. And he goes, “Hey, is this Rich?” And I say, “Yes, it is.” He goes, “This is Berj with the Patriots, I’m gonna put you on with Bill in just a moment.” And I was like, “Belichick?” and he goes, “Yeah, I’ll put you on with the coach in just a minute.” And so he puts me on hold and I’m now in the front hallway of my house and all of a sudden the living room erupts, my family is going bonkers. I step out onto the stoop so I can hear everything that’s about to be said to me. My mind is split between trying to pay attention to my future head coach and wanting to run back into the living room and celebrate with everyone I love.
Food for thought on Jimmy — 7:33 p.m.
Nope. Not buying it. — 7:25 p.m.
Odds on No. 3 pick? — 7:19 p.m.
Per our friends at Bovada, here are the odds on who will go No. 3 tonight:
Mac Jones -190
Trey Lance +175
Justin Fields +300
Kyle Pitts +4400
Zach Wilson +5500
Ja’Marr Chase +12500
Penei Sewell +15000
Trevor Lawrence +15000
Patrick Surtain II +30000
DeVonta Smith +50000
Gregory Rousseau +50000
Jaylen Waddle +50000
Micah Parsons +50000
Rashawn Slater +50000
Alex Leatherwood +100000
Najee Harris +100000
Could Boston host the NFL Draft? — 6:53 p.m.
In a word, yes. I know the big idea is that team that might not have a shot at hosting the Super Bowl could theoretically serve as draft sites. With that thinking, I think Boston would be a good fit. Where would you put it? A few different options, in my mind: the Boston Common, the Hatch Shell, the Seaport (the Leader Bank Pavilion?), or maybe at Nickerson Field. Thoughts?
“What is an impasse?” — 6:36 p.m.
Competition conundrum — 6:33 p.m.
My dream assignment as a reporter around the NFL Draft would be to sit with a veteran player and watch as the team he plays for selects a player at his position in the first or second round. Like, with Aaron Rodgers when the Packers took Jordan Love, or even with Brady when New England drafted Jimmy Garoppolo. Of course, there’s no way you can actually predict that, but my point echoes an old Mike Vrabel quote, who once said — and I’m paraphrasing here — he watches the draft every year to see “who they’re trying to get to replace me.” You will inevitably hear all the right things from guys who have been in the NFL for years after the weekend is done, but the truth is that in some cases, the team has actively dropped competition right into their laps, and they have to deal with that in some form or fashion. I also think about it when I hear that “Football is Family” phrase the NFL trots out from time to time. “Yes, son, your Mother and I are very happy with your development, but we’ve decided to go in another direction when it comes to the role of middle son. I’m sure you’ll understand.”
Some thoughts on the Pats — 6:24 p.m.
•They need to get more clarity around thew quarterback position than they have right now. At the very least, they need to get one more quarterback by Monday. I don’t care if they end up using the 15th pick, they make the trade for Jimmy Garoppolo, or go after someone like Davis Mills. They need to get more competitive at the spot.
•It depends on where he goes, but the possibility is pretty high that Mac Jones will be a very good quarterback in the NFL for many years. He will drink his milk all the way to the bottom of the glass and say please and thank you and excuse me before he gets up from the dinner table. But I firmly believe that the ceiling is higher for Trey Lance. I know there are questions about that one year, the quality of competition, etc. But I believe that if you get him in the right offense with the appropriate coach and a passable number of offensive options, he can be a real find.
•That being said, the best possible option in my mind this weekend will have Garoppolo landing in New England.
•I said this earlier this offseason, shortly after their free-agent spending spree, and I believe it even more now: there aren’t a lot of roster spots available on this team right now. I mean, it’s not like they’re stacked, but they have some very specific areas of need where they could use some depth and youth (cornerback, receiver, etc.) They have more picks than guys who have a legit shot to make the 2021 team. In some ways, it’s a little like the 2007 Draft, which was an exercise in futility where they should have just punted instead of drafted a half-dozen tackling dummies for the rest of the roster. Basically, if there’s ever been a year to package some of those picks and move around a bit — up, down, into next year — this is the year.
•For years, the Patriots would turn over a pick to Dante Scarnecchia, and the best assistant coach in this history of the game would get his shot at the big board. Even thought it’s not an overpowering area of need and Dante is no longer in Foxborough, I’d still look for the Patriots to get an offensive lineman somewhere on Day 2.
•There is a lot of back and forth, and a lot of collective conversation going on. But when the Patriots are on the clock, I honestly believe only one guy — Belichick — knows what’s going to happen. We can sit here and wonder about the influence of a Matt Patricia or Josh McDaniels. But when it comes to that pick, Belichick is the lone, singular voice who is making that call.
Rodgers reportedly wants out — 5:45 p.m.
The biggest rumor floating around out there right now? Aaron Rodgers has reportedly expressed his displeasure with the Packers, and is looking to leave Green Bay. (Per ESPN.) I don’t necessarily dismiss the ideas Rodgers is unhappy with the Packers, but there’s a reason this trial balloon is being floated now. I think it could very well be a part of a larger plan on the part of Rodgers to secure at least one or two more playmakers in this year’s draft. We’ll see.
Single greatest NFL Draft video ever — 5:40 p.m.
This chestnut has been around for many years, but it’s always fun going back and unearthing it on draft weekend. Enjoy.
Predraft reading list — 5:30 p.m.
Here are a few stories to get you ready for tonight’s action:
Andrew Mahoney: 2021 NFL Draft: How to watch, first-round order, and when the Patriots pick
Ben Volin: The time has come: Patriots must draft a quarterback in the first round
2021 NFL Draft: 41 top prospects at key positions of need for the Patriots
Jim McBride: Mock draft: The Patriots will pick a quarterback, but not where you think
Ben Volin: 2021 NFL mock draft: See who Ben Volin thinks the Patriots will pick
Ben Volin: For this year’s NFL Draft, teams are guessing more than ever
Christopher Price: The 15 worst Patriots draft picks of the Bill Belichick era
Christopher Price: The 15 best Patriots draft picks of the Bill Belichick era
Chad Finn: Bill Belichick can’t really pull off a huge surprise in this NFL draft, can he?
Khari Thompson: NFL Draft: Every pick Bill Belichick and the Patriots have made in the top 20