October 6, 2024

New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Mets #Mets

New York Mets starting pitcher Tylor Megill (38) in action against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. © Provided by Sportsbook Wire New York Mets starting pitcher Tylor Megill (38) in action against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (32-29) welcome the New York Mets (30-33) to PNC Park Friday for a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Mets went 6-1 vs. Pirates in 2022, outscoring them 40-17

The Mets are not playing well, having lost 6 games in a row following a 3-game sweep against the Philadelphia Phillies. New York is 15-21 on the road.

The Pirates are 16-15 at home this season. Pittsburgh has lost 2 straight after winning 6 consecutive games.

Mets at Pirates projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. LHP Rich Hill

Megill (5-3, 4.40 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 59 1/3 innings.

Last start:  No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 5 BB, 5 K in 2-1 loss vs. the Toronto Blue Jays on June 3 Mets are 6-6 in his 12 starts, but have lost his last 3 Has allowed at least 4 ER in 2 of his last 3 games

Hill (5-5, 4.41 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 65 1/3 in.

The 43-year-old lefty has allowed the 2nd-most HR/9 in his career at 1.4 Last start: Win, 6 2/3 innings, 4 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 6 K in 2-1 win against St. Louis on June 4 The Pirates are 6-6 in his 12 starts Mets at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:55 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mets -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Pirates +105 (bet $100 to win $105) Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+135) | Pirates +1.5 (-160) Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mets at Pirates picks and predictions Prediction

Mets 6, Pirates 5

Moneyline

TAKE METS (-125).

The Mets are better than their 6-game losing streak shows, and they have the younger and hotter pitcher on the mound.

The Pirates are 22-23 as an underdog while the Mets are 23-21 as a favorite this season. Over the last year, the Mets have had the Pirates number too, winning the last 6 games between the two sides.

They should be able to break their current losing streak here.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Backing the Mets to win by multiple runs is too risky for me. They haven’t played well recently, and while they have been good as a favorite, they are 12-19 on the run line following a loss.

At the same time, Pirates +1.5 (-160) is too expensive to take.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (-110).

Neither pitcher has been great this season as both have over a 4.40 ERA. The Mets are 3-1 O/U in their last 4 games, and the Pirates have gone Over in 2 straight.

New York has scored at least 4 runs in 4 straight games as well, putting up 10 in a loss to the Braves Thursday. The bats are there, and they are starting to come alive.

Take the OVER 9 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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