November 15, 2024

NBA best bets today (Predictions for Domantas Sabonis, Cameron Johnson, Spencer Dinwiddie)

Sabonis #Sabonis

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It’s a prop night for Monday’s NBA best bets, as I have three player props I am betting for tonight’s playoff action.

There are two plays I had on Saturday that I’m going back to for Spencer Dinwiddie and Domantas Sabonis, and I have a new Brooklyn Nets player in the fold as well.

With the Philadelphia 76ers and Sacramento Kings looking to go up 2-0 in their respective series, here’s how to bet these games:

NBA best bets record to date NBA best bets today

  • Spencer Dinwiddie OVER 8.5 Assists (+100)
  • Cameron Johnson OVER 21.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-125)
  • Domantas Sabonis OVER 13.5 Rebounds (-105)
  • Spencer Dinwiddie OVER 8.5 Assists (+100)

    Spencer Dinwiddie missed this prop in Game 1, but I’m going back to the well in Game 2 after some unfortunate luck for the Nets point guard.

    Per NBA.com, Dinwiddie had 11 potential assists in Game 1, and he also turned the ball over four times, with a few of those coming on alley oop chances where he simply made a poor pass.

    I’m betting on Dinwiddie being more accurate with his passes, and the Nets not turning the ball over 19 times as a team tonight.

    Over his last 15 games of the regular season, Dinwiddie averaged 10.9 assists per game. Even though he finished with just seven in Game 1, there’s value on him at +100 to clear this game in Game 2.

    Cameron Johnson OVER 21.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-125)

    Cameron Johnson might be the most undervalued Nets player in the prop market tonight.

    Since being traded to Brooklyn, Johnson is averaging 16.6 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game across 25 contests. He scored 18 points in Game 1, clearing this PRA number with four boards and two dimes as well.

    The Sixers made it their mission to take away Mikal Bridges in the second half, and if they do that again, Johnson has to step up for Brooklyn. In a good game, he may clear this on points alone.

    Domantas Sabonis OVER 13.5 Rebounds (-105)

    How many times does Domantas Sabonis have to clear this number until oddsmakers adjust?

    The NBA’s leading rebounder grabbed 16 boards in Game 1 against the Golden State Warriors despite a poor shooting night, and he’s picked up 22, 14, 14 and 16 boards in his four games against Golden State this season.

    The Warriors are 14th in the NBA in rebounding percentage, but they play a smaller lineup, putting Sabonis in a great spot to clear the glass every time he has position. I’ll go OVER on this prop again.

    Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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