Dolphins vs. Titans odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, predictions by NFL model on 176-128 run

The Miami Dolphins, eyeing their first division title in 15 years, will host the Tennessee Titans at Hard Rock Stadium as part of a Monday Night Football doubleheader in NFL Week 14. The Dolphins (9-3) haven’t won the AFC East since 2008 but lead by three games, their largest lead since 1984. They have been lighting up scoreboards all season, especially against struggling teams, and the Titans (4-8) fit that description. Miami crushed the Commanders, 45-15, last Sunday, while Tennessee enters off a 31-28 overtime loss to the Colts.

Kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The Dolphins vs. Titans odds list Miami as a 14-point favorite and the over/under for total points scored is 46. Before you make any Titans vs. Dolphins picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 176-128 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 30-20 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season and is 31-12 straight up the last three weeks.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Titans vs. Dolphins 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Dolphins vs. Titans:

Why the Dolphins can cover

Miami is 8-0 straight-up and 7-1 against the spread against teams under .500. The Dolphins had 406 total yards last week and average 428 per game, most in the NFL. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and receiver Tyreek Hill lead the league’s top passing attack, but Miami also ranks second in rushing at 143 yards per game. Hill had 157 receiving yards last week to give him 1,481 and is on pace to become the first 2,000-yard receiver in league history.

Tagovailoa has 3,420 passing yards and 24 TD passes and the Titans are 22nd in the league against the pass (231 yards per game). The Dolphins are averaging 6.9 yards per play, which would be the second-most by an NFL team in the Super Bowl era. The Miami defense also ranks in the league’s top 10 against both the run and the pass. The return of cornerback Jalen Ramsey from injury has had a major impact, as he has three interceptions in five games. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Titans can cover

Tennessee is 5-7 against the spread this season and is coming off a strong outing against the Colts. The Titans had a 17-7 lead, but a blocked punt returned for a touchdown, a lost fumble on a punt return, and a missed extra point cost them a chance at victory in regulation. Rookie quarterback Will Levis threw for 224 yards and one touchdown and Tennessee rushed for 177 yards. Running back Derrick Henry rushed for 102, while backup Tyjae Spears had 75 on 16 carries and DeAndre Hopkins had 75 receiving yards.

Levis, picked 33rd in April’s draft out of Kentucky, has thrown for 1,266 yards and seven touchdowns in six games. He has weapons in Hopkins (774 yards, 15.5 per catch) and tight end Chigoziem Okonkwo (313 yards). Okonkwo, a fourth-round pick out of Maryland last year, had 75 yards on just three catches last week. The Tennessee defense can get after the passer, led by Denico Autry (nine sacks) and Harold Landry (5.5). See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Dolphins vs. Titans picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, projecting 48 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s NFL picks and analysis at SportsLine. 

So who wins Titans vs. Dolphins on Monday Night Football, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Titans vs. Dolphins spread to back, all from the model on a 176-128 roll on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.