Chiefs vs Bills player props: Will Josh Allen sink or swim when faced with adversity?

The NFL’s Divisional Round will end with arguably the best game of the weekend when the Buffalo Bills welcome the Kansas City Chiefs to town. Kickoff is slated for 5:30 p.m. CT at Highmark Stadium on Sunday and will be broadcast on CBS.

Thanks to superstar quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen, this Chiefs-Bills series has turned into a rivalry reminiscent of Tom Brady vs. Peyton Manning. The Chiefs have typically gotten the better of the Bills in the end, and have a pair of Super Bowl trophies over the last four years to show for it. But the overall series hasn’t necessarily been that one-sided.

The Bills have won the last two regular season meetings against the Chiefs and fell in overtime during the 2022 playoffs before that. The Bills have to feel pretty confident that this is their year to get over the hump with three wins in the last four matchups.

Let’s take a closer look at the odds and highlight our favorite player prop plays in this AFC Divisional Round contest:

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills

Time/TV: Sunday, Jan. 21, at 5:30 p.m. (CBS)

Spread: Bills -2.5 (-122 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Over/Under: 45.5

Moneyline: Bills -144, Chiefs +122

PLAYER PROP PICKS

Josh Allen OVER 0.5 interceptions (+100 via BetMGM)

It seems almost too good to be true to get coin-flip odds on Allen to throw an interception this weekend. After all, he’s tossed a lot of them. Allen was intercepted 18 times in 17 games during the regular season, marking his fourth straight season of double-digit interceptions.

Of his 17 regular-season games, Allen threw at least one interception in 14 of those contests. That includes his performance against the Chiefs on Dec. 10, a stretch that concluded a nine-game streak of Allen throwing at least one interception.

Allen is a gunslinger by nature, and he will take his chances when necessary. Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo is very good at keeping opposing quarterbacks off balance in the postseason, and there is better than a 50% chance that Allen will make at least one mistake on Sunday.

Josh Allen anytime touchdown scorer (-105 at Caesars Sportsbook)

To be honest, these first two wagers are a microcosm of what it’s like rooting for Allen and the Bills. He’s capable of turning the ball over on any given play, but his upside is the reason why Buffalo clinched the No. 2 seed in the AFC. He not only has the arm to make otherworldly throws, but his rushing prowess ranks among the best in the league.

Allen has tapped into his rushing talent ever since Joe Brady took over as offensive coordinator. He has at least eight rushing attempts in six of his last seven games and has scored 15 total rushing touchdowns on the year. At -105, we like the chances of Allen finding paydirt with his legs against Kansas City.

Patrick Mahomes OVER 4.5 rush attempts (+102 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Speaking of rushing upside, Mahomes remains one of the best scrambling quarterbacks in the league. He has leaned on his legs a bit more this season, as his shaky supporting cast of pass catchers has proven difficult to trust at times.

Mahomes cleared 4.5 rushing attempts in half of his regular season games, which includes a 10-carry performance against the Las Vegas Raiders. He didn’t defer to his legs much last time out against the Miami Dolphins but still finished with 41 yards on two attempts.

Mahomes has recorded 20 rushing attempts across his last four meetings against Buffalo, so let’s grab these +102 odds at Caesars when most shops are offering minus odds for the same wager.

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