Biden loses ‘clearly favored’ rating from Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight at last minute
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The polls heavily favor Joe Biden heading into Election Day, but one polling website said the path is not as clear as it once was.
In their final polling analysis run sweep, FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver said his team’s 2020 national forecast featured a last-minute downgrade that serves as a modicum of good news for President Trump.
“Biden ends at 89.2%. So ‘favored’ rather than ‘clearly favored’. 10% chances happen, but it’s a certainly a very solid position for Biden. More to come,” he tweeted. The forecast is now final and will no longer be updated.
[PREDICT TUESDAY’S WINNER WITH THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER’S INTERACTIVE ELECTORAL MAP]
Roughly 12 hours early, Silver noted some oscillation between the two ratings.
“Much to Fivey’s chagrin—or perhaps delight—Biden keeps oscillating between like 89.9% (‘favored’) and 90.1% (‘clearly favored’) in our forecast with every random poll we add. (And boy have there been some random polls today.),” he tweeted, referring to website mascot Fivey Fox.
FiveThirtyEight also assessed that Democrats have a nearly three-in-four shot at taking back the Senate and the House will most likely remain under the control of the Democrats, who may expand their majority.
Tags: News, Polls, 2020 Elections, Campaign 2020, Joe Biden, Donald Trump
Original Author: Daniel Chaitin
Original Location: Biden loses ‘clearly favored’ rating from Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight at last minute