Australia politics live: NSW election results point to potential minority rule as Minns Labor government officially sworn in

Welcome to day six of the last parliament sitting before the budget is handed down.

Having secured much-needed support on the safeguard mechanism, Labor is turning its attention to its housing future fund. It needs the Greens and two crossbench MPs on that one – Lidia Thorpe has committed to voting with the Greens on climate issues, but makes her own decision on others – and so far, a compromise has not been reached.

The main issue is that no one seems to think 30,000 homes over five years is particularly impressive, or believes that the fund will work. Labor hasn’t been prepared to budge or go further, so the bill is languishing. Still, there’s three days of hardcore negotiating to go, so who knows what will happen.

The count continues in NSW, with Labor waiting to see if it will form majority government. Pre-poll and postal votes matter in quite a few seats, so it’s not a done deal just yet. Our NSW team will keep you updated on the count as it comes through, as well as any decisions on who will lead the NSW opposition.

Our Victoria and Queensland teams will also drop in anything you need to know about what’s going on there as well – other than Queensland being the greatest nation on earth, of course.

Back federally and we’ll see if Peter Dutton pops his head up today. He was unusually quiet yesterday, not holding a press conference even when the Greens struck a deal on the safeguard mechanism – he left that to Ted O’Brien, which is not a sentence you read often (for good reason, usually). And he didn’t ask any questions during QT.

Labor thinks it’s because of this Saturday’s Aston byelection – Dutton isn’t exactly popular in Victoria, so the government think he’s keeping a low profile. Dutton barely campaigned in NSW, but a loss in Aston would be both historic (governments don’t win byelections from opposition, as a general rule) and also throw his leadership into turmoil.

So far, any grumbles from the Liberal party room have been fairly muted. But at the same time, the “there’s no one else” reasoning is getting a little harsher. It doesn’t sound like it’s going to be a great vibe in the joint party room meeting today, put it that way.

We’ll keep you across all the vibes and all the information as it comes to hand. It’s at least a three coffee morning.

Ready?