December 25, 2024

Champions League scenarios: Barcelona, Lazio, Atletico Madrid, Borussia Dortmund all advance on Matchday 5

Lazio #Lazio

It’s officially the business end of the UEFA Champions League group stage, and with two games to go and with only six teams through to the round of 16, a lot is on the line on Matchday 5.

Borussia Dortmund, Atletico Madrid, and Lazio booked their tickets to the next round after big wins on Tuesday, while Manchester City secured top spot in Group G with a game to spare. The likes of Arsenal and Real Madrid could join their ranks on Wednesday, while Union Berlin could follow Antwerp and Celtic’s lead and cement their last place spots.

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As always, you can watch the Champions League on Paramount+. 

Here’s a look at the knockout round scenarios that will set up for a dramatic conclusion to the Champions League group stage.

Group A

  • Bayern Munich (12 points): Qualified for the round of 16; Can clinch first place with a win or draw against Copenhagen.
  • Copenhagen (4 points): Cannot qualify for the round of 16 or be eliminated on Matchday 5.
  • Galatasaray (4 points): Cannot qualify for the round of 16 or be eliminated on Matchday 5.
  • Manchester United (3 points): Cannot qualify for the round of 16 or be eliminated on Matchday 5.
  • Group B

  • Arsenal (nine points): Guaranteed at least a berth in the Europa League knockout round playoffs; Can qualify for the Champions League round of 16 with a win or draw against Lens; Can clinch first place with a win against Lens.
  • PSV (five points): Cannot qualify for the round of 16 or be eliminated on Matchday 5.
  • Lens (five points): Cannot qualify for the round of 16 or be eliminated on Matchday 5.
  • Sevilla (two points): Will be eliminated from the Champions League with a loss against PSV; Will not qualify for the Europa League knockout round playoffs with a win against PSV plus a Lens win against Arsenal.
  • Group C

  • Real Madrid (12 points): Qualified for the round of 16; Can clinch first place with a win or draw against Napoli.
  • Napoli (seven points): Guaranteed at least a berth in the Europa League knockout round playoffs; Can qualify for the round of 16 with a win against Real Madrid.
  • Braga (three points): Will be eliminated from the Champions League with a Napoli win over Real Madrid.
  • Union Berlin (one point): Eliminated from the Champions League; Will not qualify for the Europa League knockout round playoffs with a loss against Braga.
  • Group D

  • Real Sociedad (10 points): Qualified for the round of 16; Cannot clinch first place on Matchday 5.
  • Inter (10 points): Qualified for the round of 16; Cannot clinch first place on Matchday 5.
  • RB Salzburg (three points): Eliminated from the Champions League; Can qualify for the Europa League knockout round playoffs with a win against Real Sociedad plus a Benfica draw or loss against Inter or a draw against Real Sociedad plus a Benfica loss against Inter.
  • Benfica (zero points): Eliminated from the Champions League; Will not qualify for the Europa League knockout round playoffs with a loss against Inter plus a RB Salzburg win or draw against Real Sociedad.
  • Group E

  • Atletico Madrid (11 points): Qualified for the round of 16; Can clinch first place with a win or draw against Lazio.
  • Lazio (10 points): Qualified for the round of 16; Can clinch first place with a win against Atletico Madrid.
  • Feyenoord (six points): Qualified for the Europa League knockout round playoffs.
  • Celtic (one point): Eliminated from the Champions League and cannot qualify for the Europa League.
  • Group F

  • Borussia Dortmund (10 points): Qualified for the round of 16.
  • Paris Saint-Germain (seven points): Guaranteed at least a berth in the Europa League knockout round playoffs; Can qualify for the round of 16 with a win against Borussia Dortmund or a draw against Borussia Dortmund plus a Newcastle United draw or loss against AC Milan.
  • Newcastle United (five points): Can qualify for the round of 16 with a win against AC Milan plus a Paris Saint-Germain loss against Borussia Dortmund.
  • AC Milan (five points): Can qualify for the round of 16 with a win against Newcastle United plus a Paris Saint-Germain loss against Borussia Dortmund.
  • Group G

  • Manchester City (15 points): Qualified for the round of 16 and clinched first place.
  • RB Leipzig (nine points): Qualified for the round of 16 and clinched second place.
  • Young Boys (four point): Qualified for the Europa League knockout round playoffs.
  • Crvena zvezda (one point): Eliminated from the Champions League and cannot qualify for the Europa League.
  • Group H

  • Barcelona (12 points): Qualified for the round of 16; Can clinch first place with a win or draw against Antwerp.
  • Porto (nine points): Guaranteed at least a berth in the Europa League knockout round playoffs; Can qualify for the round of 16 with a win or draw against Shakhtar Donetsk; Can clinch first place with a win against Shakhtar Donetsk  plus a better goal difference than Barcelona plus a Barcelona loss against Antwerp.
  • Shakhtar Donetsk (nine points): Guaranteed at least a berth in the Europa League knockout round playoffs; Can qualify for the round of 16 with a win against Porto; Can clinch first place with a win against Porto plus a better goal difference than Barcelona plus a Barcelona loss against Antwerp.
  • Antwerp (zero points): Eliminated from the Champions League and cannot qualify for the Europa League.
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