Deutsche Bank leads slide in bank shares

Bank stocks took a heavy hit on Friday, with Deutsche Bank falling 10 per cent, as policymakers struggled to calm nerves after failures on both sides of the Atlantic.

The Stoxx 600 banks index, which contains Europe’s biggest lenders, fell 3.6 per cent by mid-afternoon, outstripping weakness in broad national indices. Germany’s Commerzbank fell 5 per cent while France’s Société Générale lost 5.6 per cent.

“Europe is very tilted towards banks, which have been in the eye of the storm ,” said Emmanuel Cau, head of European equity strategy at Barclays. “There are bank-specific issues to worry about like regulation and deposit safety.”

US banks were also under pressure at the Wall Street open, with the KBW Banking index down 0.9 per cent, and troubled regional lender First Republic Bank falling 0.9 per cent.

Broader markets were dragged down by the renewed banking sector turmoil, with the Euro Stoxx 600 down 1.5 per cent, Germany’s Dax down 1.8 per cent, France’s Cac 40 down 2 per cent and London’s FTSE 1.5 per cent lower.

In the US, the S&P 500 fell 0.5 per cent in early trade, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.6 per cent.

Deutsche Bank’s 9.9 per cent slide came after a surge this week in the cost of insuring the lender’s debt against default.

The price of the bank’s five-year credit default swaps — derivatives that act like insurance and pay out if a company defaults on its payments — climbed from 134 basis points on Wednesday to 200bp on Friday, according to data from Refinitiv.

Global authorities have tried to assuage investors’ concerns after the failure of several US regional banks, and last weekend’s hasty takeover of Credit Suisse by its rival UBS.

“Deutsche Bank has fundamentally modernised and reorganised its business and is a very profitable bank,” German chancellor Olaf Scholz said on Friday, after being asked if the lender was the “new Credit Suisse”. “There is no reason to be concerned about it.” 

Christine Lagarde, the European Central Bank president, told a eurozone summit in Brussels that the banking sector was “strong” and that the ECB was fully equipped to provide liquidity to the euro area financial system if needed, according to an EU official.

She insisted there was “no trade-off” between controlling inflation and fostering financial stability.

On Thursday, US Treasury secretary Janet Yellen said regulators were “prepared to take additional actions if warranted” to ensure the safety of bank deposits. But efforts to stem the selling have so far had only fleeting effects.

Central banks in the eurozone, US and UK have all pushed ahead with interest rate rises to fight stubbornly high inflation this month, despite the banking sector turmoil, itself partly the result of rapidly increasing borrowing costs over the past year.

“There’s still a nagging question amongst market participants over whether the turmoil in the banking sector is over or if there will be wider contagion,” said Mobeen Tahir, director of macroeconomic research and tactical solutions at WisdomTree Europe.

“It is also now evident from central banks that the turmoil is not going to put a hard brake on their monetary policy actions — that’s sending jitters through markets because it might exacerbate or expose new vulnerabilities in the banking sector.”

Dirk Willer, strategist at Citigroup, said it was “too early to tell” whether banking sector stress would have an impact on the wider US economy. But he added that both the Federal Reserve and the ECB had “become more cautious” about tightening monetary policy. He predicted that the US was likely to enter a recession this year, noting that “the banking stress tightens credit”.

Investors are now anticipating that the Fed will pause its rate-raising cycle, keeping rates on hold at its next meeting in May before cutting in September, while anticipating a 0.25 percentage point rise from the ECB meeting and no cuts in 2023.

Additional reporting by Guy Chazan in Berlin