Progressive group to spend $10M in ad campaign on Supreme Court vacancy

Demand Justice, a progressive outside group, is planning to spend $10 million on an ad campaign aimed at preventing the late Justice Ruth Bader GinsburgRuth Bader GinsburgDemocrats, advocates seethe over Florida voting rights ruling Trump’s Supreme Court list reveals influence of Clarence Thomas President Nancy Pelosi? Don’t underestimate what she might do in office MORE’s Supreme Court seat from being filled until after the presidential inauguration in January. 

“No confirmation til after Inauguration Day,” Brian Fallon, the group’s executive director, tweeted on Friday night. 

The spending, confirmed to The Hill by a source familiar, is an early sign of what is likely to be a massive spending battle on both sides over the fate of the Supreme Court seat, in what was already an unprecedented election year. 

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Democrats are already gearing up for a fierce fight to try to prevent Senate Republicans from filling the vacancy, arguing that it should be filled next year by whomever wins the White House in November.

“The American people should have a voice in the selection of their next Supreme Court Justice. Therefore, this vacancy should not be filled until we have a new president,” Senate Minority Leader Charles SchumerChuck SchumerMcConnell accuses Democrats of sowing division by ‘downplaying progress’ on election security Warren, Schumer introduce plan for next president to cancel ,000 in student debt Schumer lashes out at Trump over ‘blue states’ remark: ‘What a disgrace’ MORE (D-N.Y.) said in a tweet. 

But Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellMcConnell focuses on confirming judicial nominees with COVID-19 talks stalled McConnell accuses Democrats of sowing division by ‘downplaying progress’ on election security Warren, Schumer introduce plan for next president to cancel ,000 in student debt MORE (R-Ky.) announced within hours of the news of Ginsburg’s passing that he will give whomever President TrumpDonald John TrumpHR McMaster says president’s policy to withdraw troops from Afghanistan is ‘unwise’ Cast of ‘Parks and Rec’ reunite for virtual town hall to address Wisconsin voters Biden says Trump should step down over coronavirus response MORE nominates a vote. 

“President Trump’s nominee will receive a vote on the floor of the United States Senate,” McConnell said in a statement.

Republicans hold a 53-47 majority in the Senate. That means Democrats and their allies would need to win over four Republican senators to prevent McConnell from filling the seat. 

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Fix Our Senate, a Democratic outside group, also announced a six-figure ad buy encouraging voters to contact senators and urge them not to fill the seat. The ad includes clips of McConnell’s decision to refuse to give Merrick GarlandMerrick Brian GarlandTop GOP senator calls for Biden to release list of possible Supreme Court picks Biden agenda hinges on Senate majority The Hill’s Morning Report – Presented by the Air Line Pilots Association – Biden VP possible next week; Meadows says relief talks ‘miles apart’ MORE, then-President Obama’s nominee in 2016, a hearing or a vote. 

Conservative groups didn’t immediately announce ad campaigns. But they are likely to pour in money in support of whomever Trump picks and to sway swing-vote Republicans and vulnerable Democratic senators, including Sen. Doug Jones (D-Ala.). 

Ginsburg’s seat is the first Supreme Court vacancy since 2018, when Republicans confirmed Justice Brett KavanaughBrett Michael KavanaughSenate Democrats’ campaign arm announces seven-figure investment to boost Graham challenger Gideon leads Collins by 12 points in Maine Senate race: poll Conservatives see glaring omission on Trump’s Supreme Court shortlist MORE. The Brennan Center estimates that nearly $10.37 million was spent in TV ads during Kavanaugh’s confirmation battle.  

John Kruzel contributed.