Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions
Nationals #Nationals
The Miami Marlins (7-8) start a 3-game series with the National League East co-tenant Washington Nationals (6-12) Monday. First pitch at Nationals Park is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Miami won back-to-back games in Atlanta Saturday and Sunday to win a 3-game series with the Braves after losing 2 of 3 games versus the St. Louis Cardinals.
Washington is riding a 5-game losing skid, which includes a 3-game sweep in the previous series against the San Francisco Giants this past weekend and a split of a 4-game set with the Arizona Diamondbacks last week.
The Nationals beat the Marlins 11-8 in last year’s regular-season series and Washington outscored Miami by 33 runs (101-68) in those contests.
Marlins at Nationals projected starters
RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Josiah Gray
Alcantara (1-0, 1.86 ERA) makes his 4th start of the season. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 across 19 1/3 IP.
Gray (2-1, 3.14 ERA) makes his 4th start of the season. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 14 1/3 IP.
Marlins at Nationals odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:26 p.m. ET.
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Marlins at Nationals picks and predictions Prediction
Nationals 4, Marlins 3
Money line
TAKE the NATIONALS (+102) because they were 6-3 overall in Washington versus the Marlins last season and Alcantara’s numbers are so-so in Nationals Park.
Alcantara is just 1-3 with a 4.76 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.28 WHIP and 6.8 K/9 across 4 career starts in Washington, which are all worse than his career averages. Washington’s bullpen pitching peripherals are also actually better than Miami’s.
Miami’s lineup has surprisingly been far more productive than Washington’s thus far but I think that gap narrows as the season progresses. Miami’s lineup was projected to be a below-average unit preseason.
While Washington’s 3- through 5-hitters feature baseball’s best hitter in RF Juan Soto, DH Nelson Cruz and 1B Josh Bell who both can hit 30-plus home runs.
BET the NATIONALS (+102).
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS because the Nationals +1.5 (-170) is far too expensive considering Washington has a losing RL record versus NL East foes and as a home underdog since the beginning of last season.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-130) because the Over being much cheaper is the oddsmakers’ way of trying to incentivize bettors into a square wager.
Both starters have looked good to start the year and the weather forecast is predicting a slight wind blowing in from left-centerfield and wet conditions, which could suppress the hitting.
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