2020 Election to Be Decided by Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada

The 2020 presidential election results are still being tallied, but we know a lot right now. As of publication of this report, neither Republican president Donald Trump nor Democratic nominee Joe Biden is projected yet to have earned the 270 Electoral College votes required to win the presidency.

Headed into Election Day, we looked at 12 swing states that could determine the race. So far, seven of them have a winner projected by multiple reputable outlets including the Associated Press, according to a New York Times track of news organizations’ projects. Biden is projected to win Minnesota (10 Electoral College votes), Wisconsin (10), and Michigan (16). Meanwhile, Trump is projected to win Ohio (18), Florida (29), Texas (38), and Iowa (6). (Check out our reporting on the full projections for each candidate here.)

Five states we identified are now still close or too early to call, with close races and counting still underway: Pennsylvania (20), Georgia (16), North Carolina (15), Arizona (11), and Nevada (6). Here’s a look at what we know about the results in those states right now. Keep in mind, figures reported here may shift within minutes of publication.

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Pennsylvania (20)

Pennsylvania is the biggest prize left on the board. As of the publication of this report, Trump is currently ahead by nearly 460,000 votes, with about 80% (5.7 million votes) of the estimated total vote reported, according to the New York Times. In 2016, Trump was the first Republican to win the state since 1988 — but just barely.

Trump and Biden campaigned heavily in PA in the final days before Election Day, and also before the election, the New York Times reported how the Trump campaign was trying to make voting harder there.

According to NBC Philadelphia, Governor Tom Wolf said Wednesday on the subject of the mail-in ballots, “We may not know the results even today.” NBC Philadelphia reported Wednesday at noon that about half of the state’s 2.5 million mail-in ballots had yet to be counted. The Philadelphia Inquirer reported Wednesday that mail-in ballots from the Philadelphia suburbs could be consequential in the race.

Michigan (16)

UPDATED: Michigan was projected to be a Biden win by multiple outlets following the publication of this report.

Like Pennsylvania, Michigan barely went to Trump in 2016. As of the publication of this report, results posted by the New York Times show Biden leading by roughly 37,000 votes, with 94% (5.3 million votes) of the estimated vote reported.

MLive reported Wednesday that Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson said around 11:30 a.m. that about 100,000 votes were left to count, mostly absentee ballots. According to the Times’s live results tracker, as of publication, Biden is leading absentee voting in Michigan by nearly 38 percentage points.

In Detroit, a key part of the state for Biden’s chances, a city clerk told Local 4 News that all the city’s ballots were expected to be counted by Wednesday evening.

Georgia (16)

As of the publication of this report, the New York Times shows Trump has a roughly 79,000 vote lead, with 93% (4.7 million votes) of the estimated total vote reported. CBS News reported that the Georgia secretary of state said Wednesday there were 200,000 ballots left to be counted. There are 40,000-50,000 early votes, though it was unclear if that number is included in the 200,000 figure.